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Is he being rushed along to start here by his owner? He's clearly the lightning rod starter here and every bit of me wants to completely toss him based on the workout issues and this being his third lifetime start. But there's also part of me that thinks it's almost too obvious to completely toss him. He will be a big overlay as a result and he may be the most talented colt with the biggest upside. Simplification Trainer: Antonio Sano Jockey: Jose Ortiz I really want to use Simplification with confidence, but will Jose Ortiz ride him the correct way and give him the trip he had at the Fountain of Youth Stakes, or will he be sent on the lead as he was before tiring in the Florida Derby?
He had a bit of a bounce coming off a career-best finish at the Fountain of Youth. He had excuses in both races against White Abarrio, so I don't think he should be double the price of that one. Maybe he's not good enough, but at I'm happy to invest and find out. He's a dead closer and while he has clunked up for pieces at Oaklawn, I just can't see him better than fourth here for a trainer who hasn't done much in graded stakes, and he was easily beaten by Cyberknife.
I like him because he's versatile and while his worst lifetime race and Beyer Speed Figure came on this track last year, he may have just developed from 2 to 3 in the care of Saffie Joseph and that race can be thrown out. He has made up six lengths on Smile Happy, but can he beat the likes of Zandon?
Maybe not, but he's another one that can win and will be on my tickets. I had him in the Arkansas Derby and I'll have him here. I'm not expecting anywhere close to though. He has improved since taking the blinkers off in his first try against winners in the Lecomte. His Beyer Speed Figures are a little light, but that's fine, as it means he probably hasn't reached the bottom yet. It could also mean he may not have it in him.
Distance isn't a question, but it's just a matter whether he's good enough and whether Florent Geroux can work out a good trip off the pace from Post I think the answer to both is yes. He is one of the more likely winners Saturday. Remember that last year Mandaloun was before eventually being declared the winner after Medina Spirit was disqualified.
If he doesn't send, then throw out any handicapping you've done, as the goal is to not finish last. My guess is that it will be more exciting for the owners to say they had the lead in the Derby. He will not be on my tickets in any spot other than an all button for third in one trifecta. The second of the three Brad Cox runners will likely be the longest price and the farthest back of the bunch. Two of his three wins came at Turfway, he hasn't really been close against Epicenter or Tiz the Bomb and he didn't beat anyone at Keeneland.
But he is still here, has a trainer who can pop at a price and should get a nice pace to run into. It still will not be enough to crack the exacta, but I wouldn't be completely shocked if he clunked up to complete the superfecta. He has no shot of winning, or being around after 10 furlongs, but his first stakes try was pretty good and he holds the key to helping the other two Cox runners. An outside draw and send into a contested pace isn't a recipe for victory on the first Saturday in May.
However, if he does his job well, it will affect the chances of Cyberknife and Tawny Port. Look for this one to compete in some big sprint races this summer. Ethereal Road Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas Jockey: Luis Contreras Good luck to you is all I have to say if you're considering using this horse with zero speed from post Anita Marks' picks Marks' pick: Charge it to win Cyberknife Marks' pick: Cyberknife to win Exactas and trifectas with 8 and 16 on top -- followed by 10, 3, 6, 12 and 7 There are plenty of favorites in the field of 20, including Zandon and Epicenter, but both will not provide value.
When handicapping this year's race, look for horses with a good "front foot," meaning they are not off the pace at the turn, and that have drawn a good post -- middle of the pack. There are two horses with odds that I will be betting to win Saturday. Charge It, a Pletcher horse, has Luis Saez as his jockey.
Pletcher has said that he is his favorite 3-year-old and even though this will be only his third race he finished second in the Florida Derby , he is starting to peak. This horse has all the pedigree, drew a great post position, and will only get better as the race goes on. The question is whether he can handle the intensity of the crowd on Derby day. Cyberknife, a Brad Cox horse, has Florent Geroux as his jockey.
They are coming off a win in the Arkansas Derby five weeks ago and Cyberknife has been training well over the past three months. He has the speed to be in a good position when needed -- even though he drew the 16th post. I will also be using both Bob Baffert horses in exactas and trifectas -- even though he will not be in attendance. Tim Yakteen is listed as the trainer for Messier and Taiba, but he is Baffert's assistant, and I believe those horses will be ready to compete Saturday.
Pettis odds. Willis odds. He watches every single fight for every single UFC card and does extensive research before each event. It's an astonishing cash rate that shows the depth of Marley's knowledge.
Diakiese dominated from the opening bell to win comfortably on each scorecard, and anyone who followed Marley's advice cashed big. He predicted Usman's energy and activity level would be the difference in a unanimous-decision victory. That's exactly what happened as Usman controlled the action to claim the title belt.
Marley went at UFC , and anyone who has followed his advice is way up. He's sharing them only over at SportsLine. Marley knows that Thompson, 36, is eager to ascend back into title contention in a crowded welterweight division. He had two shots at the belt against former champ Tyron Woodley that ended in one draw and one close decision loss.
Krylov is a bout between capably-flawed light heavyweights is one of the most competitive fights on the prelims. Both fighters ended a two-fight skid as Krylov pounded the bones of what once was Alexander Gustaffson in his last fight, whereas Oezdemir shut down upset specialist Paul Craig. Oezdemir has the better takedown defense but this fight will have little to any wrestling or grappling as these two will slug it out.
Krylov fights with a compromised ring IQ at times, but Oezdemir is going to be right there for him to tag all night. While the odds suggest Krylov could score a stoppage here, Oezdemir is incredibly resilient and can take a good shot. Best Bet: Nikita Krylov moneyline at DraftKings Borralho is becoming a middleweight to watch, looking dominant with an incredible grappling game and couples it with solid striking. Muradov can be dangerous and unorthodox on his feet, but will absolutely lose if he gets taken down.
The Brazilian is a physically taxing grappler and he scores 2. I think Barber will get the finish here and handily continue her unbeaten streak. Luis Pena is an extraordinarily exciting UFC prospect. Pena is an accomplished grappler, with four out of his five professional wins coming by way of submission.
Deiveson Figueiredo is undefeated and has finished thirteen of his fifteen opponents. Even though this will be only his second time fighting outside of Brazil, I think that Figueiredo gets the win and finish here. This will be his fifteenth UFC appearance.
Jesus Pinedo comes into this one on a seven fight win streak dating back to mid On his current seven fight win streak, the finish has evaded Pinedo only once. I think that Pinedo has all of the momentum entering this fight, and at only 22 years of age, I think that the sky is the limit for this young up-and-comer.
Blaydes has won four out of his last five, but he is coming off of a first-round knockout loss to Francis Ngannou back in November of last year. Justin Willis is on an eight fight win streak, losing only in his very first bout.
Now Sonnen — in a poetic turn of phrase — says that the current Sonnen could kick the crap out of that Sonnen, and that Sonnen beat up on Silva for a long time. Pick: Anderson Silva Forrest Griffin vs. Pick: Forrest Griffin Patrick Cote vs.
He went back to the minor leagues of the sport, won four fights impressively in less than a year, and now is not only back in the UFC but back as a favorite. Le, on the other hand, has fought only once in the last two years — his UFC debut last November — and he was beat up by Wanderlei Silva.
Pick: Patrick Cote Chad Mendes vs. Aldo is very special, though, so Mendes is far from a slouch. McKenzie only does one thing well — the guillotine choke. Pettis, Blaydes vs. Thompson is the third-ranked welterweight seeking a return to title contention following losses in two of his last three fights.
Pettis is the former lightweight champ, now ranked No. Pettis odds. Willis odds. He watches every single fight for every single UFC card and does extensive research before each event. It's an astonishing cash rate that shows the depth of Marley's knowledge. Diakiese dominated from the opening bell to win comfortably on each scorecard, and anyone who followed Marley's advice cashed big.
He predicted Usman's energy and activity level would be the difference in a unanimous-decision victory. That's exactly what happened as Usman controlled the action to claim the title belt. Marley went at UFC , and anyone who has followed his advice is way up.